Mets vs. Marlins Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets - Saturday, July 20, 2024 - Bleacher Nation (2024)

The New York Mets (49-47) and Jeff McNeil (2 HR in his last game) are favored (-161) on the moneyline for their matchup with the Miami Marlins (34-63) on Saturday at 4:10 PM ET on WPIX.

Luis Severino starts for New York while Roddery Munoz is Miami’s starter for the contest.

Mets vs. Marlins Odds

  • Mets odds to win: -161
  • Marlins odds to win: +137
  • Spread: Mets -1.5
  • Total: 8.5 runs
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    Game Time and Information

  • Date: Saturday, July 20, 2024
  • Time: 4:10 PM ET
  • TV: WPIX
  • Who Will Win Mets vs. Marlins?

    Mets and Marlins Betting Trends

    The Mets have gone 30-25 in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 54.5% of those games).

    New York has a record of 4-2 when playing as moneyline favorites with odds of -161 or shorter (66.7% winning percentage).

    This season, the Marlins have won 30 out of the 80 games, or 37.5%, in which they’ve been the underdog.

    Miami has a record of 12-27 in games where oddsmakers have it as underdogs of at least +137 on the moneyline.

    The Mets have combined with opponents to hit the over on the total 52 times this season for a 52-41-3 record against the over/under.

    The Marlins and their opponents have hit the over in 52 of their 97 games with a total this season.

    Mets Stats & Insights

    The Mets score the sixth-most runs in baseball (469 total, 4.9 per game).

    New York ranks fifth in baseball with 123 home runs. They average 1.3 per game.

    The Mets’ .249 batting average is 10th-best in MLB.

    New York strikes out 8.1 times per game, the ninth-best average in baseball.

    The Mets pitching staff ranks ninth in MLB with a collective 8.7 strikeouts per nine innings.

    New York’s 4.26 team ERA ranks 22nd among all MLB pitching staffs.

    Marlins Stats & Insights

    The Marlins have scored 342 runs (just 3.5 per game) this season, which ranks 29th in MLB.

    Miami ranks last in Major League Baseball with just 79 home runs as a team.

    The Marlins’ .234 batting average ranks 24th in the league this season.

    Miami ranks 13th in MLB in strikeouts per game with an average of 8.3 Ks per contest.

    The Marlins strike out 8.2 batters per nine innings as a pitching staff, 24th in MLB.

    Miami has the 27th-ranked ERA (4.61) in the majors this season.

    Mets Key Players to Watch

    Severino gets the start for the Mets, his 19th of the season. He is 6-3 with a 3.78 ERA and 81 strikeouts through 109 2/3 innings pitched.

    Francisco Lindor leads New York in batting average (.254) this season while adding 17 home runs and 52 RBI.

    Brandon Nimmo leads New York in runs batted in with 63 while batting .248 with 16 homers.

    Pete Alonso is slugging .450 this season, with a team-high 19 home runs. He’s also collected 51 RBI.

    McNeil has collected 67 hits this season and has an OBP of .282. He’s slugging .340 on the year.

    Marlins Key Players to Watch

    The Marlins will send Munoz (1-4) to the mound for his 10th start this season.

    Jazz Chisholm leads the Marlins with a .251 batting average.

    Bryan De La Cruz’s 16 home runs and 44 RBI both pace his team.

    Josh Bell has 17 doubles, a triple, nine home runs and 27 walks while batting .228.

    Jesus Sanchez has 14 doubles, a triple, 11 home runs and 16 walks while hitting .245.

    Mets and Marlins Injuries

    Mets: Starling Marte: 10 Day IL (Knee), Sean Reid-Foley: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Reed Garrett: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Drew Smith: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Brooks Raley: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Shintaro Fujinami: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Ronny Mauricio: 60 Day IL (Knee), Kodai Senga: 60 Day IL (Shoulder)

    Marlins: Dane Myers: 10 Day IL (Ankle), Braxton Garrett: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Sandy Alcantara: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Josh Simpson: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Sixto Sanchez: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Jesús Luzardo: 60 Day IL (Back), Ryan Weathers: 60 Day IL (Finger), Eury Pérez: 60 Day IL (Elbow)

    Mets vs. Marlins Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Mets 5, Marlins 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
  • How to Bet on Mets vs. Marlins

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    Mets vs. Marlins Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets - Saturday, July 20, 2024 - Bleacher Nation (2)

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    Mets vs. Marlins Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets - Saturday, July 20, 2024 - Bleacher Nation (2024)
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